Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LINK prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 7.936483 8.942059 9.988087 11.154263 12.414900 13.733455 15.213719
2024-10-13 6.572073 8.026091 9.622564 11.492470 13.609366 15.918702 18.615348
2024-10-20 5.449870 7.093066 8.974298 11.260489 13.936494 16.943237 20.549895
2024-10-27 4.473932 6.184238 8.219886 10.777416 13.860131 17.412775 21.771703
2024-11-03 4.010783 5.828881 8.062808 10.945002 14.499547 18.676280 23.889000
2024-11-10 3.631860 5.531560 7.935330 11.111942 15.109945 19.888048 25.939433
2024-11-17 3.187982 5.101051 7.596653 10.975989 15.316239 20.590580 27.366379
2024-11-24 2.873180 4.811850 7.412117 11.010705 15.715627 21.516363 29.060059
2024-12-01 2.572738 4.512375 7.187214 10.968903 15.999008 22.286740 30.558665
2024-12-08 2.319675 4.256419 6.999790 10.957586 16.307105 23.079642 32.083765
2024-12-15 2.280621 4.315578 7.250613 11.542161 17.404222 24.887231 34.903839
2024-12-22 2.073308 4.096227 7.087892 11.543255 17.716336 25.684105 36.446585
2024-12-29 2.027590 4.133011 7.303046 12.085624 18.778297 27.483225 39.314891
2025-01-05 1.925492 4.069424 7.364510 12.409199 19.547810 28.912346 41.728581
2025-01-12 1.693129 3.766095 7.044909 12.166867 19.525352 29.289814 42.777009
2025-01-19 1.425988 3.373347 6.560023 11.655846 19.104595 29.118032 43.092667
2025-01-26 1.332746 3.281983 6.542183 11.833106 19.650887 30.244978 45.123781
2025-02-02 1.247202 3.196262 6.526794 12.009620 20.195106 31.372384 47.164484
2025-02-09 1.109428 2.995827 6.309918 11.865872 20.269260 31.854001 48.344017
2025-02-16 1.016158 2.872849 6.213934 11.902581 20.601498 32.689486 50.002404
2025-02-23 0.918020 2.728624 6.071889 11.858379 20.809120 33.350417 51.427634
2025-03-02 0.833669 2.603513 5.954567 11.846411 21.059904 34.070308 52.936108
2025-03-09 0.846560 2.693325 6.222799 12.464329 22.263554 36.140314 56.305981